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Posted on: November 21, 2008 3:18 am
 

nfl week 12

so i know im a little late to start this both in terms of missing the first 11 weeks nd in terms of missing the first game. but people have been on me to do this already so here we go

@ browns -3 Texans: ill take houston against the spread. and i say they take advantage of a bad cleveland d nd win the game

Bills -3 @ Chiefs: i think buffalo gets back on track nd shuts down the kc offense nd scores a blowout

@ titans -5.5 Jets: this game is gna come down to how well brett farve does. i do not think he will have a running game to lean on he will have to make plays. that said this is brett farve nd not a rookie qb like Joe Flacco he can make plays. however will/how many mistakes will the titan pass rush force. i say they cause one mayb 2 ints. collins comes back to earth as the Titans control the ball with their running game. i think they win by a td so im taking tenessee to cover

@ fins -1 hoodies: the hoodies er i mean the pats srry bout the typos have almost never lost back to back games since 04 i believe the number is something like 16-1 after losses. that said this is not ur classic patriot team. no harison no brady no maroney no thomas and no troy brown to play every position during the game to bail them out. the first time these teams met was in foxboro nd the Dolphins ran their wildcat offense to prefection. now they play in miami with both teams having something to play for. since its a 1 point spread im basically picking a winner unless they tie. (yes they can do that donovan). i like the dolphins to win at home finally playing for something at this point of the season.

@ Cowboys -10 niners: no way this is right. i mean did someone do too much weed when they made this? ne way its there. niners r bad but not that bad. cowboys on paper r good but not that good. right? well put it in perspective to cover the cowboys could win by even a 14-3 score. i thik the cowboys will cover. but im interested to c just how good they do.

bucs -8.5 @ Lions: so this is the week the lions will win right? wrong the o-for continues as the lions eye the first overall pick in the draft nd the chance to take mike crabtree comes nearer. the bucs will win nd will cover. some ppl r sayin they dont have the offense to cover but its only 8.5 pts. ne team in the top 10 of the bcs could cover this one.

@ Ravens -1 igglez: the ravens were embarrased by my Giants last week on national tv which was a gr8 experience for me. earth wind nd fire ran all over the place on these guys. wat does that mean in terms of this week for the ravens? who ever plays them is gna face one pissed defense that needs to reassert itself. so imagine my happiness when i looked at this weeks schedual and look who has to go to baltimore? the Eagles. im tellin u someone upstairs is watchin out for big blue fans. i take the ravens to cover

da Bears -8.5 @ Rams: for a little while it was lookin like the rams were gna b playin spoiler the rest of the season but they went back to their losing ways. the rams can put up alotta points if ur not prepared but that wont b a problom for da bears. who knows mayb this week we will c Trent Green. ill take the bears to cover

@ Jaguars -2 Vikings: tough game to pick becuz no one rly knows where either team is at. however i feel like the vikings r just not playing well while the jags r playing right at wat i thought they would. im not sold on garrard nd i think they shoulda kept leftwhich also trading stroud was foolish too. im going to take a desperate vikings team against the spread.

@ Falcons -1 Panthers: another tough game cuz both these teams r very good. the falcons have been gr8 at home nd wouldve won last week if that catch in the end zone wouldve been made. carolinas tough but i think they r a little over confident. ill take falcons to cover

@ broncs -9.5 Raiders: a yawner the raiders cant stop anyone so forget about them against a highpowered bronco passing game. Broncos cover

skins -3.5 @ Seahawks: seattle is bad but its a tough place to play in which is y the spread is only 3.5 i think that the seahawks find a way at home to beat the spread.

gmen -3 @ cards: a dangerous game for the defending champs but i think that they will run all over arizona and put enough pressure on warner that he doesnt put up his graham harrell like numbers this week. i pick giants to cover

@ Chargers -3 Colts: ahh yes finally lts comin out party look for him to have a huge game nd for the chargers to win but they will not cover the spread against peyton nd the colts. thats right colts against the spread

@ Saints -2.5 Packers: Drew Brees is a monster but i dont think the d is good enough to stop the packers. the packers will make a few stops on d nd win the game. so the pick is packers against the spread.

so to recap the picks:
houston against
buffalo covers
titans cover
dolphins cover
cowboys cover
bucs cover
ravens cover
bears cover
vikings against the spread
falcons cover
broncos cover
seattle against the spread
giants cover
indy against the spread
packers against the spread

Category: NFL
Posted on: March 2, 2008 12:23 pm
Edited on: March 3, 2008 10:55 am
 

BRACKETOLOGY

Automatic Bids and at large bids that r a given:

America East: UMBC

ACC: UNC (champ) Duke Clemson Miami

Atlantic Sun: Belmont

A-10: Xavier

Big East: Georgetown (champ) Louisville UCONN Notre Dame Marquette Pitt west virginia

Big Sky: Portland St.

Big South: UNC-Asheville

Big Ten: Indiana (champs) wisconson purdue mich st

Big 12: Kansas (champs) Texas Baylor Texas A&M Oklahoma Kansas St

Big West: CSU Northridge

CAA: VCU

CUSA: Memphis

Horizon: Butler

IVY: Cornell

MAAC: Rider

Mid-American: Kent St

MEAC: Morgan St

MVC: Drake (champs) Illinois St

Mountain West: BYU

Northeast: Robert Morris

Ohio Valley: Austin Peay

Pac-10: Stanford (champs) UCLA Washington St Arizona

Southern: Davidson

Patriot: American

SEC: Tennessee (champs) Vandy Arkansas Mississippi State

Southland: Stephen F Austin

Sun Belt: Southern Alabama

SWAC: Alabama St.

Summit: Oral Roberts

WCC: St. Mary's (champs) Gonzaga

WAC: Boise St.

this leaves 9 bubble bids not in any order

1)Rhode Island

W-L: 21-9 (7-8)     RPI: 59       SOS: 108

Good Wins: UAB , @ Syracuse, Dayton

Bad Losses: @ George Washington

I think that the Rams regain their formula that led to their great early season play and go deep in the A-10 Tourny restoring faith in them. the 21 wins at this point look really good and will help people to over look the 5 game losing streak they have a decent RPI but weak SOS so good thing for them they took care of business.

2)UMASS

W-L: 19-9 (8-6)     RPI: 35     SOS: 48

Good Wins: @ Syracuse, vs Houston, @ Dayton, vs URI, @ URI

Bad Losses:  Fordham

Good records overall and in conference. Solid RPI and SOS. 5 good wins all against other bubble teams. Only 2 bad losses and St. Louis seems to be beating every bubble team from this conference so im not sure i should really count them as a bad loss. Some People might include the loss @ IUPUI but i think the Jaguars are a very good team that will do damage in the nit.

3)Syracuse

W-L: 17-12 (7-9)     RPI: 54          SOS: 9

Good Wins: vs Siena vs St Joes @ Nova vs Georgetown

Bad Losses: @ USF

Syracuse getting in is based on the strength of the Big East, and syracuses outstanding sos. add this to the Gtown win and you get the bid.

4) Houston

W-L: 21-7 (10-4)         RPI: 63        SOS: 142

Good WIns: vs Kentucky

Bad Losses: @ ECU

Wow I almost couldnt put these guys in out of disgust. The Cougars lost @ ECu by one whihc is still a horrible loss. so why are they in instead of UAB. the amount of Bad Losses. Out of houstons 7 losses only one was bad and 3 of them were expected (memphis 2x and arizona) they put a beat down on Kentucky and the comittee likes to put in mid major super stars when they can randall falker last year robert mckiver this year. never heard of him? southern miss has... he dropped 52 on them with 50% shooting that night.

5)Siena

W-L: 18-10 (12-5)       RPI: 81      SOS: 111

Good Wins: vs Stanford @ Rider @ Boise St

Bad Losses: @ James Madison vs Manhatten

I know your thinking SIENA?!?!? but hear me out. Every year a team that does very well but not amazing makes it from a tiny conference because they took care of business when the big boys schedualed. In addition this team is usually an espn bracket buster winner. That year this team is SIena. They beat Stanford at home then took care of business in conference for the most part only slipping against james madison and manhatten they won their bracket buster on the road convincingly and i say they get the nod.

6)Creighton

W-L: 20-9 (10-8)           RPI: 51     SOS: 88

Good Wins: vs St Joe's @ Oral ROberts

Bad LOsses: @ Evansville

Creighton gets in based on a solid resume (rpi sos good wins and bad losses) going along with a 20 win season. MVC all ways gets the nod from the bubble and creighton is always here even when we think they wont be

7)UNLV

W-L: 21-6 (11-3)           RPI: 27     SOS: 75

Good WIns: vs Nevada vs BYU

Bad Losses: None

21 wins including ones over Nevada and BYU looks very nice when there are no bad losses and the RPI for the Rebels is 27. The SOS is not as strong as you would usually like but is lost among positives.

8)USC

W-L: 18-10 (9-7)     RPI: 38  SOS: 19

Good Wins: vs Oklahoma @ UCLA vs Arizona St @ ARizona

Bad Losses: vs Mercer

Trojans Boast a Great RPI and SOS to go with their decent overall record and marginally god pac-10 record. getting a win over both arizona teams was a good resume base the UCLA win more than offset an unacceptable loss vs Mercer. Without the UCLA win USC misses the tourny for the same reason as Kentucky (GArner Webb)

9) Arizona St

W-L: 18-10 (8-8)     RPI: 66       SOS: 63

Good Wins: vs Arizona @ ARizona vs Stanford vs USC

Bad Losses: @ Illinois

The Sun Devils have only one bad loss @ illinois which is a tough place to play. They Swept Arizona beat USC at the end of the season and had the big win vs Stanford. The record RPI and SOS are all middle of the road and dont lend you to lean either way on the Sun Devils but the big wins get them the last spot

 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com